Via Michael Totten, Iâ€™m pointed to this article by Khidir Hamza, a nuclear scientist who worked on Saddamâ€™s nuke program before he defected. Iâ€™ve seen him make several news appearances befroe reading this editorial, and he has always been adamant about the fact that 1) Saddam would never disarm (he sees his entire destiny bound up with them) and 2) he is most assuredly still working on a nuclear weapon.
In this most recent WSJ piece, though, Hamza gives what I think is the most credible voice yet to the notion that France and Germany are so steadfast in their opposition to the deposing of Saddam because they are grossly complicit in his illegal weapons programs, and are motivated not only by greed but also by the fear of the revelations of their underhanded deals directly in violation of the UN resolutions they voted for. Hamza focuses mostly on the money issue, but he
Now, when Steven Den Beste first speculated about this, he offered what were worst case scenarios should some kind of treachery by Germany or France show up. At the time, I read it and thought, â€œHmmm, quite scary, very unlikely.â€
The â€œunlikelyâ€ part is frankly starting to lose out to the â€œscaryâ€ half in my mind. The end of the UN. The end of NATO. The end of the EU. The US withdrawing from Germany. And with what Donald Sensing has written recentlyâ€¦
There were no reporters present, so people spoke pretty freely. During the course of the discussion, Herr Leutnant General said that the only reason Europe had enjoyed its longest period ever of uninterrupted peace was that there were two US Army corps in western Germany, and significant US forces elsewhere in Europe. He didnâ€™t quite say that without American boots on the ground there, Granta Europe would have gone to war with itself again, but we clearly understood thatâ€™s what he meant. The British and Italian representatives nodded.
…and combined with the anti-growth, anti-prosperity economic policies of the Weasel axis (encouraging crippling economic stagnation â€“ a wonderful catalyst for national aggressiveness if there ever was one) Iâ€™d think anybody would be truly daft to not get significantly worried at the prospect of severe German/French treachery in the immediate future.
I know that a lot of people will think of this and simply roll their eyes at the suggestion.
â€œCome on, Germany and France are the most transnationally progressive of any country in the world. That runs directly against any kind of European war scenario.â€
Well, first of all, any actions they have been shown to take with regards to their dealings in Iraq will be pretty good evidence that their tranzi clothes are all for show, and that theyâ€™re really just for getting whatecver piece of the pie they can for them and theirs. And thatâ€™s not even mentioning the fact that much of their UN maneuvering of late has been specifically geared towards securing for themselves places of power and influence through the machinery of diplomacy, which just happens to be their weapons system of choice right now. The French particularly, have revealed themselves to be nothing short of nationalistic, and I donâ€™t now doubt for a second that given the correct conditions, they would move in the direction of aggressive geopolitical power plays to secure their interests.
What are those conditions? Well, for instance: a Europe no longer heavily saturated in American stationary forces, one not bound up in the â€œbrotherhoodâ€ and etiquette of the EU (even now mostly a pretense, as recent startegically timed letters have shown), a Europe where the declining economic well-being of France prompts them to once again look with a green eye at the prospect of imperialism, certainly not the same kind of imperialism they practiced in the past, but nonetheless a practice of holding spheres of influence over less developed territories. One that particualrly comes to mind would be them exploiting anti-Americanism in Arabia, at first merely making stronger and stronger overtures of friendship, and then attempting to exercise power over the region outright through proxy governments which they would support.
WHat the US would do in such a situation is a good question, but more importantly is how the rest of Europe would react. Would Germany join France in its endeavors or become a rival? It seems that the recent chumminess of their diplomatic alliance against he US is prone to all kinds of quick fracturing, as the confused and recriminatory reactions to the leaked â€œMirageâ€ plan revealed. And what about New Europe, who seem much more eager to throw their lot in with the US?
Many more interesting questions than answers, as is usually the case.
last update : 25-3-2017